Futures Commentary and Analysis

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COFFEE CONTINUES HIGHER; HERE'S OUR PRICE TARGET
Jason Rotman - IF - Fri Feb 17, 10:37AM CST
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Good morning:

Commentary

Refer to coffee futures chart I attached. I believe coffee futures are in the beginning stages of a rally to $1.64. I notice a potential double bottom at around $1.45 and the MAR17 futures are trading higher today, briefly testing $1.50.

I still believe we will see WTI crude oil head lower into next month. The market is beneath a major resistance line and technically the Money Flow Index (MFI) on the weekly chart is just beneath 80, which is the threshold for technical overbought conditions.

The SP500 has failed to continue higher above 2350, but that does not mean it is all of a sudden a weak market now. At the same time, the MFI for this market is actually above 80, so I would not be surprised to see a very mini-correction lower by about 1, maybe 2% soon. Nothing acute or major though, although there is always the x factor which is the factor of the unknown. Perhaps this is why the VIX has actually been going up recently.

KC21717

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