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Lean Hogs Jul '16 (HEN16)

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Lean Hogs Futures Market News and Commentary

Hogs Closed Off Highs but still Stronger for NASS Report

Nearby lean hog futures were up by as much as $1.25 for the day’s high, but prices ended the day mixed / mostly higher. June was down by 15c for Thursday which finished the week’s move on a net $1.75 gain and put the monthly gain at $1.25. June traded the month of March from -$1.58 to +$3.27. USDA’s National Average Afternoon Base Hog price increased $2.21 to $81.47, with the WCB quote at $80.96 and the ECB quote at $83.22. 

The quarterly NASS report had March 1 hog inventory at 74.751 million head, a 0.6% increase vs last year. The trade was looking for a slightly lower hog herd yr/yr. USDA reported the breeding herd at 6.02 million head. The Dec-Feb pig crop was 1.9% above last year with 33.15m head, the trade was looking for a 1.4% increase on average. Farrowing intentions for March-May were 2.915 million head, or 0.88% below last year vs the 2.3% drop expected. 

USDA’s FAS reported 55.3k MT of pork was sold for the week that ended 3/21. That was a new yearly high, an... Read more

Contract Specifications

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Contract
Lean Hogs
Contract Size
40,000 pounds
Tick Size
0.00025 per pound ($10.00 per contract)
Trading Hours
8:30a.m. - 1:05p.m. (Settles 1:00p.m.) CST
Exchange
CME
Point Value
$400
Margin/Maintenance
$1,650/1,500
First Notice Date
07/15/16
Expiration Date
07/15/16 (expired)

Seasonal Chart

Lean Hogs Jul '16
Average Price Chart for 5 Prior Jul Contracts

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Mar 19, 2024

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
97,267 (+4,670)
126,389 (+6,210)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
92,556 (+2,992)
58,934 (+1,386)
Producers - Long / Short
21,604 (+2,896)
111,243 (+4,841)
Swap Dealers - Long / Short
69,900 (+1,374)
9,383 (+969)
Managed Money - Long / Short
71,703 (+798)
9,977 (+2,120)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
20,853 (+2,194)
48,957 (-734)
Get Realtime - Quotes and Charts for Futures Traders. Learn More >>

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
79.575 +0.53%
on 07/11/16
87.450 -8.52%
on 06/16/16
-6.825 (-7.86%)
since 06/15/16
3-Month
77.650 +3.03%
on 04/18/16
88.900 -10.01%
on 06/14/16
+1.900 (+2.43%)
since 04/15/16
52-Week
71.075 +12.56%
on 11/16/15
88.900 -10.01%
on 06/14/16
+1.000 (+1.27%)
since 07/15/15

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Cattle Firm Up into the Weekend

Thursday’s cattle trade pushed futures back up by $1.40 to $1.57. For the June contract that ended the week a net $2.65 lower after bouncing off the Bollinger midline. June fats were a net 97c weaker...

LEJ24 : 185.000s (+0.76%)
LEM24 : 180.250s (+0.88%)
LEQ24 : 178.200s (+0.86%)
GFH24 : 247.750s (-0.12%)
GFJ24 : 247.125s (+0.10%)
Hogs Closed Off Highs but still Stronger for NASS Report

Nearby lean hog futures were up by as much as $1.25 for the day’s high, but prices ended the day mixed / mostly higher. June was down by 15c for Thursday which finished the week’s move on a net $1.75...

HEJ24 : 86.625s (+0.61%)
HEM24 : 101.450s (-0.15%)
KMJ24 : 95.625s (+0.13%)
Shootin' the Bull about no more cheap corn

With the aspects of cheap corn now out of the picture, those declining cost of gains is now expected to rise.  While not necessarily bullish, the report is in no way bearish.  I think what it will do...

Corn Futures Rally Following Bullish USDA Report

The USDA report showed fewer acres of corn which sent prices sharply higher into the long weekend.

Agricultural Prices

Agricultural Prices - 2024-03-28

ZSK24 : 1191-4s (-0.08%)
ZSPAUS.CM : 11.3491 (-0.02%)
ZSBAUS.CM : -0.5658 (+1.27%)
ZSDAUS-BIW.CM : 4,506,573 (unch)
ZSYAUS-BIW.CM : 52.03 (unch)
XSK24 : 3,791s (-1.07%)
XTK24 : 4,754s (+0.44%)
ZCK24 : 442-0s (+3.57%)
ZCPAUS.CM : 4.2047 (+3.97%)
ZCBAUS.CM : -0.2152 (+3.58%)
XVK24 : 2,400s (+0.54%)
XEU24 : 61.17 (-0.44%)
Hogs and Pigs

Hogs and Pigs - 2024-03-28

LHM24 : 101.675s (+1.98%)
HEM24 : 101.450s (-0.15%)
YKK24 : 15,220s (-1.49%)
Cattle Mostly Higher so far

Live cattle futures are trading with midday gains of as much as $1.80 across the front months. Feeders are also in the black with gains of as much as 80 cents. USDA confirmed some light cash trade on Wednesday...

LEJ24 : 185.000s (+0.76%)
LEM24 : 180.250s (+0.88%)
LEQ24 : 178.200s (+0.86%)
LEY00 : 184.000s (-2.13%)
GFH24 : 247.750s (-0.12%)
GFJ24 : 247.125s (+0.10%)
Hogs Pushing Upside into NASS Data

Lean hog futures are trading near to 70 cents under the session high for midday wit 40 to 8- cent gains on the board. USDA’s National Average Afternoon Base Hog price was $1.37 weaker to $79.26. The...

HEJ24 : 86.625s (+0.61%)
HEK24 : 92.500s (+0.11%)
KMJ24 : 95.625s (+0.13%)
Hogs Firmed Up for Wednesday

Nearby lean hog prices were 12 to 62 cents higher across the front months, leaving June with a $1.90 weekly gain into the quarterly Hogs and Pigs report. USDA’s National Average Afternoon Base Hog price...

HEJ24 : 86.625s (+0.61%)
HEM24 : 101.450s (-0.15%)
KMJ24 : 95.625s (+0.13%)

Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point N/A
2nd Resistance Point 80.333
1st Resistance Point 80.167
Last Price 80.000s
1st Support Level 79.892
2nd Support Level 79.783
3rd Support Level N/A

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52-Week High 88.900
Fibonacci 61.8% 82.091
Last Price 80.000s
Fibonacci 50% 79.988
Fibonacci 38.2% 77.884
52-Week Low 71.075

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